HOW DOES HOLMES SIZE UP?
According to Holmes’
Sharks profile, he stands at 185cm and weighs in at 90kg.
Given his size and athleticism, you’re going to see most people point to Holmes as a running back (RB). It’s also the NFL position most naturally suited to an NRL athlete.
The Los Angeles Rams’ Todd Gurley is someone you’d point to as arguably the best RB in the game. He stands at 185cm, but weighs in at a hefty 102kg.
Val to the NFL?
The same goes for Le’Veon Bell of the Pittsburgh Steelers, who’s the same height, but also comes it at 102kg.
The types of RBs who are closer to Holmes’ weight are guys like Kareem Hunt and Alvin Kamara — both are 98kg — but both are also 178cm.
Holmes’ 40-yard dash is 4.6 seconds, which doesn’t stack up well against other RBs in the game. Gurley (4.52) and Bell (4.6) are both 12kg heavier than Holmes, but have either comparable or better times. Can Holmes add, say, 5-10kg while maintaining or improving his 40-yard dash time?
When looking at Holmes as a potential wide receiver (WR), we can see that he matches up — at least physically — better than other positions.
Holmes sizes up similarly to the likes of Antonio Brown (178cm, 82kg), Stefon Diggs (183cm, 88kg), Amari Cooper (185cm, 95kg), and DeAndre Hopkins (185cm, 98kg). Cooper, however, has a 40-yard dash of 4.42, significantly better than Holmes. That’s what he’s competing with.
When comparing Holmes to Jarryd Hayne, the latter had the clear advantage. Hayne stands at 190cm and weighed in at 102 kg. Physically, he’s just bigger, but he was also faster, clocking in with a 40-yard dash of 4.5.
So, physically, Holmes is one of the NRL’s best, but that all changes in the NFL. Can he add muscle to his frame while maintaining his speed, while adding another level of explosiveness?
WHAT POSITION DOES HE PLAY?
Given Holmes’ size and athleticism, there are three positions that would make some sort of sense: wide receiver (WR), running back (RB), and special teams.
We’ll get special teams out of the way first.
Holmes led the NRL with 1,494 kick return metres (57.4 per game), which was 100+ more than the next best player, James Tedesco. This obviously points to Holmes as a potential kick and punt returner, but NFL teams would very rarely burn a roster spot for someone for that skill alone.
Holmes does compare favourably to other WRs in terms of his physical make-up, and has the speed, footwork, and change of direction that has the potential to translate to the NFL. He also has good hands.
“Valentine, what you’re seeing there is someone who already inherently understands that he’s not going to bull people in that fashion from an upright standpoint, so I think he might have more of a natural feel for being able to get under hits,” Matt Waldman, an expert NFL draft scout, told
Fox Sports Australia’s NFL podcast Hard Count back in 2016, about Holmes.