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Finals countdown

Matabele

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 15, 2004
Messages
23,083
Doing the Finals calculator has confirmed my worst suspicions.

Of the sides outside the eight, the one we must most fear getting on a run and taking our spot is the Eels. It is not yet beyond them and the Knights played them into form last weekend.

Beating them at Parramatta Stadium in 2 1/2 week's time is mission critical but we haven't got a recent history of doing well there.

I suspect you will need 30 points to make the eight this year because the Bunnies have given up so many cheap points.

We have a bye so we need 4 wins to make sure of it.

Games you'd think we SHOULD win:

Bunnies (H)
Bunnies (A)
Panthers (H)

Drop any of these games and we can kiss finals goodbye.

Which means we have to pull off one of the following:

Eels (A)
Knights (A)
Bulldogs (H)
Storm (A)

We have a poor recent record against all of those teams, particularly at those away venues. Heaven help us if our final round assignment is winning at Olympic Park to secure a finals spot!
 

Matabele

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 15, 2004
Messages
23,083
A lot will depend on whether it is Fui Fui or King that gets the 160 metres.
 

ants

Active Member
Joined
Aug 24, 2005
Messages
384
It also looks likely from what others have tipped that we may end up with the same amount of points as other sides at the bottom of the 8. This means our for-and-against is going to be crucial - WE NEED TO SMASH THE BUNNIES X2!!! :twisted:
 

clontaago

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 15, 2004
Messages
6,420
If we play up to our best there is every possibility we can beat the dogs at home, knights and parra away.

That will put us on 34.
 

Matabele

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 15, 2004
Messages
23,083
Clon, as a Carlton tragic I expect a bit more hard world realism from you:

When was the last time we beat the Knights in Newcastle? They beat us at Brookvale and in recent years we have been flogged up there.

The Bulldogs have won handsomly at Brookvale in recent years. They are a different side to the one we thrashed early in the year. Their big guns are back and they are firing. I intend to be at Brookvale that day to fire up the dull yuppies on the Hill as I have done on the past.

Have you forgotten the fearful thrashing the Eels gave us in the semi final last year? When did we last win out there?

What odds would you give me on us losing one of those three?
 

byso

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 19, 2004
Messages
9,621
Bulldogs have the wood on us at Brookie and by the time we play them which is the 2nd last week they will be in finals mode.

It will be a good test of what chances we have I guess.
 

2020 Ladder

Team P W D L PD Pts
1 Panthers 20 18 1 1 299 37
2 Storm 20 16 0 4 258 32
3 Eels 20 15 0 5 104 30
4 Roosters 20 14 0 6 230 28
5 Raiders 20 14 0 6 128 28
6 Rabbitohs 20 12 0 8 169 24
7 Knights 20 11 1 8 47 23
8 Sharks 20 10 0 10 0 20
9 Titans 20 9 0 11 -117 18
10 Warriors 20 8 0 12 -115 16
11 Tigers 20 7 0 13 -65 14
12 Dragons 20 7 0 13 -74 14
13 Sea Eagles 20 7 0 13 -134 14
14 Cowboys 20 5 0 15 -152 10
15 Bulldogs 20 3 0 17 -222 6
16 Broncos 20 3 0 17 -356 6
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