The Run Home

Ralphie

Bencher
Premium Member
Home - North Qld = 50/50 chance (Perhaps optimistic)
Away - Cronulla = Likely Loss
Away - St Merge = Likely win (Although we always lose at the Gong)
Away - Chooks = 50/50 chance
Home - Penrith = Likely Loss
Away - Warriors = 50/50 chance
Away - Canterbury = Likely win
Home - TigPies = Likely win

So, if we get two of the three 50/50's we will finish on 31 points and may scrape in to the finals. We are on a knife edge and cannot afford any stupid losses where we should have won.
 

Chunkytuna

Reserve Grader
Tipping Member
Looks about right to me. I'm hoping (more than believing) we can maybe pick up the sharks game too. Sharks are a bit erratic and hopefully we can get them on a bad day. Need to beat Cowgirls first though.
 

Rosko

Reserve Grader
Premium Member
Tipping Member
Agree with your assessment. Looks like we are 1 of 7 teams in the running for 2 places - so odds well against us. Can't see us coming back from a loss this week, there is just no x factor to throw in. So we simply must find a way to win on Saturday, no matter how ugly.
 

JakeyB789

Reserve Grader
Only really see the Dragons, Bulldogs and Tigers as wins which leaves us with 10 wins and another mediocre 10th-12th place finish. I know we just beat Roosters but that was at a sold out Brookie and we only just got them at the end, the result is likely reversed away from home

Unfortunately any chance of going on a run ended in the 2nd minute of Origin 2. A shame we are headed for another wasted year as the signs in the Canberra and Dolphins games were very encouraging
 

The Who

Journey Man
You are correct about our success at the 'Gong. We have only won once there in 10 outings. That is a hoodoo!
Conversely, we have a very impressive record against Cronulla -- except for the past few matches.
 

Terry Zarsoff

First Grader
^^Well until they pour cement into Turbo’s skeletal and muscular system, plus replace several dopey, timid, lazy forwards with some hard charging Terry Randall types, it will probably remain thus.

I still think Manly might surprise a few people and sneak into the finals.
 
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BOZO

Journey Man
Tipping Member
Home - North Qld = 50/50 chance (Perhaps optimistic)
Away - Cronulla = Likely Loss
Away - St Merge = Likely win (Although we always lose at the Gong)
Away - Chooks = 50/50 chance
Home - Penrith = Likely Loss
Away - Warriors = 50/50 chance
Away - Canterbury = Likely win
Home - TigPies = Likely win

So, if we get two of the three 50/50's we will finish on 31 points and may scrape in to the finals. We are on a knife edge and cannot afford any stupid losses where we should have won.
Thanks feathered friend @Ralphie

It appears we have 8 games left to earn the right to compete for the title and the only thing that really matters and what every team really plays the game for
The clubs that fall short also fall into insignificance as there is nothing more anticlimactic than your club not being represented in the finals

We have 8 more opportunities to live up to our Legendary clubs minimum expectations of making the the top 8 as Great clubs are only made Great by winning Grand Finals

At the end of the year there are only three things that are certain
Clubs will meet expectations and make the finals
Overachieve and reach the pinnacle of Grand final success
Underachieve and miss the finals

I hope we can make our Legendary club proud in 2023
 

Will on the hill

Bencher
Premium Member
Tipping Member
Just did the ladder predictor, if we win 6 of 8 we are a very good chance.
5 of 8 we need some luck, in particular we need Eels and Cows to drop some games they should be favourites in. 4 of 8 is season over.

This weekend is crucial as Cows are one of the teams we are most likely to jump.

Bunnies and Warriors have a soft draw which will make them very hard to catch, unless they hit a real form slump.
 
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Budgie

In for the long haul.
Premium Member
2016 Tipping Competitor
Tipping Member
Have the Cows got many Origin reps? I completely ignore Origin, and other teams for that matter!
 

Mark from Brisbane

“ Boomer still Booming”
Premium Member
Tipping Member
Let’s face it we are ****ed, again !!

Same **** different year.

We start full of promise , cop a heap of injuries , lose some close games , lose some games we shouldn’t have , then Turbo is gone ( again ) and we are screwed.

We desperately need one or two hard nosed forwards , and clear the deadwood out that stifle us PLUS have Tom fit for a full year to be in the hunt again.

Can’t really see 24 being much different , maybe a chance in 25.
 

Ron E. Gibbs

First Grader
Really, if we make the eight from here I will be equally surprised and thrilled. My main worry is that we're just not capable of playing consistently well for eight weeks. I'll be happy if we don't go down in a ball of flames like last year.
 

XV-1

First Grader
Let’s face it we are ****ed, again !!

Same **** different year.

We start full of promise , cop a heap of injuries , lose some close games , lose some games we shouldn’t have , then Turbo is gone ( again ) and we are screwed.

We desperately need one or two hard nosed forwards , and clear the deadwood out that stifle us PLUS have Tom fit for a full year to be in the hunt again.

Can’t really see 24 being much different , maybe a chance in 25.

We screwed up this year by getting 1 out of 4 points against Newcastle. Pathetic both times against them.
 

Chunkytuna

Reserve Grader
Tipping Member
It could have been very different if they hadn’t played touch footy with Oldcastle in Mudgee.

Or taken the two easy points on offer (in front of the posts) vs Souths.

Or played for the full eighty vs the Oldy Titians and the Narks.
So many couldve’s, shouldve’s and wouldve’s. They all help to explain why we lose our ****e at the time these things happen - because they have wider ramifications down the track.
 

Seagles68

Bencher
Premium Member
Tipping Member
Really, if we make the eight from here I will be equally surprised and thrilled. My main worry is that we're just not capable of playing consistently well for eight weeks. I'll be happy if we don't go down in a ball of flames like last year.
I don't want to admit it out loud, Ron but I agree. I think we're stuffed when it comes to the 8. Even if we get away with this week, those away games coming up are real problems. And if we lose those games and are out of the running, the games we should win towards the end, could easily be losses as well. These next 3 games could determine if we scrape in or just miss the 8 OR end up finishing closer to the spoon than I would want.
 

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