The Run Home

[Ralphie]

Home - North Qld = 50/50 chance (Perhaps optimistic)
Away - Cronulla = Likely Loss
Away - St Merge = Likely win (Although we always lose at the Gong)
Away - Chooks = 50/50 chance
Home - Penrith = Likely Loss
Away - Warriors = 50/50 chance
Away - Canterbury = Likely win
Home - TigPies = Likely win

So, if we get two of the three 50/50's we will finish on 31 points and may scrape in to the finals. We are on a knife edge and cannot afford any stupid losses where we should have won.

 

[robbiea]

Can see Cowboys give us a touch up.

 

[Chunkytuna]

Looks about right to me. I'm hoping (more than believing) we can maybe pick up the sharks game too. Sharks are a bit erratic and hopefully we can get them on a bad day. Need to beat Cowgirls first though.

 

[Rosko]

Agree with your assessment. Looks like we are 1 of 7 teams in the running for 2 places - so odds well against us. Can't see us coming back from a loss this week, there is just no x factor to throw in. So we simply must find a way to win on Saturday, no matter how ugly.

 

[JakeyB789]

Only really see the Dragons, Bulldogs and Tigers as wins which leaves us with 10 wins and another mediocre 10th-12th place finish. I know we just beat Roosters but that was at a sold out Brookie and we only just got them at the end, the result is likely reversed away from home

Unfortunately any chance of going on a run ended in the 2nd minute of Origin 2. A shame we are headed for another wasted year as the signs in the Canberra and Dolphins games were very encouraging

 

[The Who]

You are correct about our success at the 'Gong. We have only won once there in 10 outings. That is a hoodoo!
Conversely, we have a very impressive record against Cronulla -- except for the past few matches.

 

[Terry Zarsoff]

^^Well until they pour cement into Turbo’s skeletal and muscular system, plus replace several dopey, timid, lazy forwards with some hard charging Terry Randall types, it will probably remain thus.

I still think Manly might surprise a few people and sneak into the finals.

 

[manlyfan76]

As long as pennIS content...

 

[JenEagle]

we really need to win six out of eight to make the finals

 

[BOZO]

Home - North Qld = 50/50 chance (Perhaps optimistic)
Away - Cronulla = Likely Loss
Away - St Merge = Likely win (Although we always lose at the Gong)
Away - Chooks = 50/50 chance
Home - Penrith = Likely Loss
Away - Warriors = 50/50 chance
Away - Canterbury = Likely win
Home - TigPies = Likely win

So, if we get two of the three 50/50's we will finish on 31 points and may scrape in to the finals. We are on a knife edge and cannot afford any stupid losses where we should have won.

Thanks feathered friend @Ralphie

It appears we have 8 games left to earn the right to compete for the title and the only thing that really matters and what every team really plays the game for
The clubs that fall short also fall into insignificance as there is nothing more anticlimactic than your club not being represented in the finals

We have 8 more opportunities to live up to our Legendary clubs minimum expectations of making the the top 8 as Great clubs are only made Great by winning Grand Finals

At the end of the year there are only three things that are certain
Clubs will meet expectations and make the finals
Overachieve and reach the pinnacle of Grand final success
Underachieve and miss the finals

I hope we can make our Legendary club proud in 2023

 

[Will on the hill]

Just did the ladder predictor, if we win 6 of 8 we are a very good chance.
5 of 8 we need some luck, in particular we need Eels and Cows to drop some games they should be favourites in. 4 of 8 is season over.

This weekend is crucial as Cows are one of the teams we are most likely to jump.

Bunnies and Warriors have a soft draw which will make them very hard to catch, unless they hit a real form slump.

 

[Budgie]

Have the Cows got many Origin reps? I completely ignore Origin, and other teams for that matter!

 

[Will on the hill]

Have the Cows got many Origin reps? I completely ignore Origin, and other teams for that matter!

Val, Taulagi, Cotter, Nanai, Robson.
Drinkwater and Dearden are the 18th men.

 

[Budgie]

Val, Taulagi, Cotter, Nanai, Robson.
Drinkwater and Dearden are the 18th men.

Excellent!

 

[Mark from Brisbane]

Let’s face it we are ****ed, again !!

Same **** different year.

We start full of promise , cop a heap of injuries , lose some close games , lose some games we shouldn’t have , then Turbo is gone ( again ) and we are screwed.

We desperately need one or two hard nosed forwards , and clear the deadwood out that stifle us PLUS have Tom fit for a full year to be in the hunt again.

Can’t really see 24 being much different , maybe a chance in 25.

 

[Ron E. Gibbs]

Really, if we make the eight from here I will be equally surprised and thrilled. My main worry is that we're just not capable of playing consistently well for eight weeks. I'll be happy if we don't go down in a ball of flames like last year.

 

[Terry Zarsoff]

It could have been very different if they hadn’t played touch footy with Oldcastle in Mudgee.

Or taken the two easy points on offer (in front of the posts) vs Souths.

Or played for the full eighty vs the Oldy Titians and the Narks.

 

[XV-1]

Let’s face it we are ****ed, again !!

Same **** different year.

We start full of promise , cop a heap of injuries , lose some close games , lose some games we shouldn’t have , then Turbo is gone ( again ) and we are screwed.

We desperately need one or two hard nosed forwards , and clear the deadwood out that stifle us PLUS have Tom fit for a full year to be in the hunt again.

Can’t really see 24 being much different , maybe a chance in 25.

We screwed up this year by getting 1 out of 4 points against Newcastle. Pathetic both times against them.

 

[Chunkytuna]

It could have been very different if they hadn’t played touch footy with Oldcastle in Mudgee.

Or taken the two easy points on offer (in front of the posts) vs Souths.

Or played for the full eighty vs the Oldy Titians and the Narks.

So many couldve’s, shouldve’s and wouldve’s. They all help to explain why we lose our ****e at the time these things happen - because they have wider ramifications down the track.

 

[Seagles68]

Really, if we make the eight from here I will be equally surprised and thrilled. My main worry is that we're just not capable of playing consistently well for eight weeks. I'll be happy if we don't go down in a ball of flames like last year.

I don't want to admit it out loud, Ron but I agree. I think we're stuffed when it comes to the 8. Even if we get away with this week, those away games coming up are real problems. And if we lose those games and are out of the running, the games we should win towards the end, could easily be losses as well. These next 3 games could determine if we scrape in or just miss the 8 OR end up finishing closer to the spoon than I would want.