1. Manly. Still got the best backline in the comp, with the best halves pairing and we have some talented youngsters waiting for their chance. Yes we've lost Gifty, Kingdog and Choc...but we played most of last year without Gift, King was past his best and while we'll miss Choc, we won't miss his disruption. Big Willie and Mateo are a welcome addition despite Willie's age. We'll still be hard to beat and as a Manly fan I have to pick us to win 😀.
2 Souffs. May have lost Sam, Te'o and now Auva'a, but they won't go from top to bottom like they did in 1989-90. The biggest danger to Manly's 9th premiership.
3. Scumdogs. 2 GF's in 3 years under Des is nothing to sneeze at and they'll be better for it. Signing the best winger this side of Ryan Hall won't hurt either. But for the love of god, can someone just say "Stuff it" and deck Grub Reynolds every game. 10 in the bin well worth it.
4. Donkeys. Not sure if Bennett is the coach he once was, but he's probably better than Hook. No Barba? No worries, he's been a shadow of his 2012 self since 2013. Wayne's love child Darius should be good for them and give them some stability at the back. Milford joining Hunt in the halves will give them on-field direction and strike power....if they can work together.
5. Rorters. Losing Mini and $BW will hurt them. It can be argued that losing Shame Hayne will too. Might take a top 4 spot from the Donkeys, but they won't get much further than that.
6. Cows. Once again their season will depend on a fit and firing JT. If they can get over their inferiority complex they'll be a smokey.
7. The Riff. Can't see them really improving on 2014, but can't see them being much worse off either. The problem is that some others will improve.
8. Worriers. You never know with this mob. They'll have flashes of brilliance where they can make anyone else look second rate, and periods where they'd struggle to beat a team coached by Ricky Stuart. I think they'll make the top 8 and from there who knows what they'll be capable of? Outside of the Vermin I'd say they're our biggest danger, depending on their mood.
As for the rest.....I think the Storm are on the slide and if they do make the 8 it'll be by the skin of their teeth.
Parra-doesn't-matta now have Choc, but that is no compensation for losing Hayne. They'll be lucky to make the top 12, let alone the top 8. I hope Choc enjoyed the success he had at Manly because that side of the gravy train is over for him now. At least he'll have the money train still rolling in for the next 4 years.
St Merge have lost Morris to the Scumdogs. While I normally wouldn't put so much stock in how much losing a winger will mean to a team, even one as good as him, its a loss Mary's boys didn't need.
The Gummies could surprise. No Carney but they have gained Barba. They do have a decent pack, but their backs are a bit suspect for mine. Could scrape into the 8 if they find form.
Not sure what Jason Taylor can do with the Tigers. The more experience their younger guys get the better they'll be for it. Another who might make the 8 if they hit form. Though my own personal feeling is that this club won't see any on-field success until Robbie "I run this club so we work as a team and do it my way" Farah retires.
That leaves Canberra, Gold Coast and Newcstle. In short, IMO none have a hope in hell of making the top 8 and will probably join Choc's new mob in the bottom 4.
Sorry to make a short story long.