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Going in as favourites for the first time in 2011

Discussion in 'Rugby League Forum' started by Dan, Mar 24, 2011.

  1. Dan

    Dan Administrator Staff Member Administrator 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    It feels good to be going in as favourites for the first time this year, but I am not sure that I am that confident we will run away with it as strongly as the

    sportsbet odds suggest

    Click here for the full odds

    $1.56 isn't too bad and probably worth a punt, but the Knights have been pretty good.

    What do you think?
     
  2. The Eagle

    The Eagle Well-Known Member

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    I think the knights have had fickle defense to beat
     
  3. maxta

    maxta Well-Known Member 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    Prob shoot for HT / FT double - makes the odds that bit better.
     
  4. Berkeley_Eagle

    Berkeley_Eagle Current Status: 24/7 Manly Fan 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    what's 1-12 & 13+ paying ?
     
  5. Dan

    Dan Administrator Staff Member Administrator 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    http://partners.sportingbet.com.au/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_253b_1393&url=http://www.sportingbet.com.au/Default.aspx#&&s=Sports-2122727

    (1-12) 3.15 
    (13+) 2.90 
     
    Newcastle
    (1-12) 4.05 
    (13+) 5.50
     
  6. Berkeley_Eagle

    Berkeley_Eagle Current Status: 24/7 Manly Fan 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    MMM I may hace some of that $2.90
     
  7. Dan

    Dan Administrator Staff Member Administrator 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    Line betting is $2.00 even I think
     
  8. Duff

    Duff Well-Known Member 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    I think it's a bit of a worry.

    We've had one gutsy win but the Knights are the form team of the comp along with the Dogs & probably Melbourne.

    It's going to be a tough ask. Everyone who's banking on the emotional wave getting us home has to remember how many parties Manly has crashed in the past. Newcastle will be looking to do this to us.

    The boys can do it it but will have to be really good on the day. It's not the cert the odds would have you think.

    Taking your heart out of it, a lazy dabble on Newcastle looks pretty good value.
     
  9. maxta

    maxta Well-Known Member 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    If you think we can start with a dominent 1st half the 9+ HT margin usually pays well.....i may go with the emotion & pay the price or get paid  :p
     
  10. Wolfpack

    Wolfpack Well-Known Member

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    This.

    Knights have been playing a much better game than Manly so far, we shouldn't be favourites IMO.

    One emotion charged win over a woeful Roosters doesn't make us world beaters.
     
  11. MPC75

    MPC75 Well-Known Member

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    Need to put pressure on Jarrod Mullen early. If we give him to much confidence early, it could be a long afteroon. He is playing good footy at the moment.
     
  12. Wolfpack

    Wolfpack Well-Known Member

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    Agreed on Mullen. He is the engine of their entire team currently, especially with Gidley out.

    When Mullen is playing well he is the best 5/8th in Australia, can't let him get into a rhythm. He will absolutely tear us apart.
     
  13. Mark from Brisbane

    Mark from Brisbane Living the dream Premium Member

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    That bloody winger Uate, he killed us at Bluetongue last year...he's the worry!! (ie read up against Twinkle Toes)
     
  14. Dan

    Dan Administrator Staff Member Administrator 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    If you are going to have a punt, my preferred bookie is sportingbet.com.au, us the banner adverts or my signature if you are going to punt through them, and that would be greatly appreciated
     
  15. ManlyBacker

    ManlyBacker Winging it Staff Member

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    I see we are still $23 for the Premiership. That is still overs for mine.

    Unlike someone in this thread I never bet against Manly. So far this year I have had NFI on our games but I do agree that Drugcastle have a good chance.

    However, you would think that the Brookie atmosphere with a big crowd should see the boys easily get home. Manly by 8+. I am sure I'll wade in on Sunday as the confidence grows. $2.00 at the line could be the go.
     
  16. Berkeley_Eagle

    Berkeley_Eagle Current Status: 24/7 Manly Fan 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    Half Time Margin -

    NAME LINE ODDS
    Manly Sea Eagles 1-4 6.50
    Manly Sea Eagles 5-8 5.50
    Manly Sea Eagles 9+ 3.50
    Newcastle Knights 1-4 7.00
    Newcastle Knights 5-8 7.50
    Newcastle Knights 9+ 5.75
    Draw 9.00


    1st Try Scorer - Home Team -

    NAME ODDS
    Brett Stewart (Man) 8.00
    Michael Robertson (Man) 6.00
    Will Hopoate (Man) 8.00
    Tony Williams (Man) 8.00
    David Williams (Man) 7.00
    Kieran Foran (Man) 9.00
    Daly Cherry-Evans (Man) 12.00
    Jason King (Man) 26.00
    Matt Ballin (Man) 18.00
    Brent Kite (Man) 26.00
    Anthony Watmough (Man) 16.00
    Joe Galuvao (Man) 18.00
    Glenn Stewart (Man) 14.00
    Penalty Try (Man) 81.00
    No Sea Eagles Try Scored 13.00
     
  17. Mybludog

    Mybludog Active Member

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    T-rex @ $8 for FT looks good
     
  18. manlysister

    manlysister Member

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    Prefer to be the under dog on the odds. I think we will win but it wont be as convincing as the odds show. Newcastle are playing good footy & are at the top. We need to turn up for the game & play well. The brett emotion will help us as long as we dont base everything on that.
     
  19. Berkeley_Eagle

    Berkeley_Eagle Current Status: 24/7 Manly Fan 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    here is one





    HIGHEST SCORING TEAM FOR ROUND
    Manly Sea Eagles 4.50
    Penrith Panthers 5.00
    Melbourne Storm 8.00
    Canterbury Bulldogs 11.00
    Sydney Roosters 11.00
    Brisbane Broncos 12.00
    Wests Tigers 12.00
    Canberra Raiders 14.00
    Parramatta Eels 15.00
    South Sydney Rabbitohs 15.00
    Gold Coast Titans 17.00
    St George Illawarra Dragons 17.00
    Newcastle Knights 21.00
    New Zealand Warriors 26.00
    Nth Queensland Cowboys 29.00
    Cronulla Sharks 41.00
    Pay on the team which scores the most points for the round. Extra time included. Dead heat rules apply
     

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