Predict the opening odds

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Blake

Reserve Grader
Predict the opening odds for Fridays game.
I would assume Melb would probably deserve favoritism, but an away game at a venue we are currently undefeated I reckon there will be nothing between them.

Manly $1.90
Scum $1.90
 
Manly $2.50
Melbourne $1.65

Manly 13+ (My option) $5.50
Melbourne 13+ $3.40

Manly 1-12 $2.65
Melbourne 1-12 $2.15
 
By rights should be
Storm - $1.70
Manly - $2.10
I like Manly half/fulltime - should be around $3.20 or
Manly 9+ half time at $3.70 - $4.00
 
Anyone who is thinking of backing Manly to win the comp has a decision to make.

1 Take the current odds of about $5.50 (good odds in a 6 horse race) or

2 Wait until after Fridays game, if we win we could shorten into around $3.50 or $4.00.

Lose and we might go out slightly.
 
TAB Sportsbet will today list the Storm as $2.10 roughies for their trip to Brookvale Oval. Manly will be $1.70 favourites.
 
DVS Matt said:
Berkeley_Eagle said:
Manly $1.95
Scum $1.35

Not possible

If Scum are $1.35 then Manly will be $3.10ish

If Manly are $1.95 then Scum will be $1.85


It is possible, its only about 126% market. But usually they are much skinnier, around 110%.
 
Amazing that we are favs...BUT I suppose

It's Fortress Brookvale

We assume Cronk is still out

AND they are scared of T-Rex
 
Might be possible Mick but it would be a lonely life betting 126% in a two horse.No need for a penciller thats for sure.
 
Yeah that's for sure Susan. But at every meeting I worked at I would see someone have a really dumb bet.
We would have a hose at $3 and every other bookmaker would be $3.50 or $4.00 and up would come some goose and have his $50 on it. We would geta laugh out of this every time.
 
Team P W L PD Pts
5 4 1 23 10
5 4 1 14 10
6 4 2 48 8
6 4 2 28 8
5 3 2 25 8
5 3 2 14 8
6 3 2 38 7
6 3 2 21 7
6 3 3 37 6
6 3 3 16 6
6 3 3 -13 6
5 2 3 -15 6
6 3 3 -36 6
6 2 4 -5 4
6 2 4 -7 4
5 0 5 -86 2
6 1 5 -102 2
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