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Howard's economic wrongs

Discussion in 'General Discussion Forum' started by clontaago, Dec 17, 2007.

  1. clontaago

    clontaago Well-Known Member

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    Howard's economic wrongs

    THE "Whitlamesque" spending of the Howard government, coupled with Kevin Rudd's promise to deliver $31 billion intax cuts, have left the nation'sfinances in such a fragile state that inflation and interest rates are likely to rise in coming months.

    And the economic forecaster Access Economics warns that the new Government will have to slash commonwealth spending by as much as $10 billion a year to reduce the risk.

    Access Economics director Chris Richardson said that although the figure appeared enormous, the Howard government saved more in its first budget, after taking into account inflation. "There has never been an incoming administration with a richer vein of potential spending cuts to attack," he said.

    But he said much of the growth in spending under John Howard had been in areas such as security and family benefits, and the new Government would require political courage to make cuts in these areas.

    The Howard splurge

    Mr Richardson described the Howard government's spending in recent years as "positively Whitlamesque", saying the Coalition had handed back more than half the China-driven revenue windfall in a series of personal income tax cuts, with the rest directed to increased spending.

    In the past five years, new government spending initiatives had added $40 billion a year to the budget, he said, with another $45 billion a year of revenue handed back as tax cuts.

    Mr Richardson warned that the extra spending was fuelling inflation, forcing the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates. Another rise in February to 7 per cent was almost inevitable.

    "With surging demand running into capacity constraints for the first time in 30 years, the last government's decision to spend every red Chinese cent of its windfall further boosted that demand, leading to an upsurge in imports and a lift in inflation pressures," Mr Richardson said.
    Tax cuts give $5.8bn back

    Howard government tax cuts over the past five years had put an additional $5.8 billion a year in consumer pockets, he said. From July next year, the Labor Government's promised tax cuts would add a further $7.1 billion.

    Domestic demand, after inflation, is expected to reach a growth rate of more than 6 per cent over coming months - a figure Mr Richardson said was "off the charts" and would alarm the Reserve Bank.

    "Either the rest of the world economy gets a lot worse as a result of the financial turmoil, and we don't think it will, or Canberra will really have to get its act together," he said.

    Otherwise, people with mortgages would be facing interest rate increases of 0.65 per cent or more by the middle of next year.

    Rate-rise inevitable

    Mr Richardson warned that a 0.25 percentage point increase in February was almost inevitable, with the banks likely to add an additional 0.15percentage points to cover higher funding costs. A further 0.25 percentage point rise from the Reserve Bank was likely by the middle of the year.

    Access believes that based on no further policy initiatives from the Rudd Government, the budget surplus should be $700million higher than expected this year, and $600 million above budget in 2008-09.

    However, Access believes the China boom will start to fade beyond that, exposing the budget to considerable risks. The firm believes the budget surplus would drop to only 0.6 per cent of GDP by 2010-11 - breaking Labor's promise to maintain a surplus of 1 per cent of GDP.
     
  2. Guest

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    Howard's economic wrongs

    Rudd certainly looks a fool to have simply copied the Liberals tax cuts policy before the election.

    Certainly give tax cuts to lower income earners but no-one earning over $80k a year should receive a tax cut.

    Halve the tax cut total to about $16b and put the savings into improving highways, public transport, making university fees cheaper, and infrastructure.

    This will be a huge test for Labor to see if they have the balls to change their election promise for the good of the country.

    It will be interesting to see if Rudd changes the libs school funding policy and reduces the amount of funding to private schools and gives it instead to public schools.

    If Rudd can do all of the above in the next 3 years then he might convert me to support labor. :lol:
     
  3. Dan

    Dan Administrator Staff Member Administrator 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    Howard's economic wrongs

    He looks a fool?

    And what would little Johnnie look like?
     
  4. Matabele

    Matabele Well-Known Member

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    Howard's economic wrongs

    Rudd is the first person elected to PM for promising to *not* match the ridiculous pork-barrelling of the other major candidate.
     
  5. Guest

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    Howard's economic wrongs

    Another fool.
     
  6. Guest

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    Howard's economic wrongs

    Rudd is the first person elected to PM for promising to *not* match the ridiculous pork-barrelling of the other major candidate.

    [/quote]

    The libs tax policy stated $34b worth of tax cuts and then within a matter of days labor offered $31b worth of tax cuts. To me that is just matching what the libs had offerd.

    If rudd wanted to be different he should have offered much smaller tax cuts and promised to spend the difference on better projects. He didn't.
     
  7. Matabele

    Matabele Well-Known Member

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    Howard's economic wrongs

    I wish I could think of $3billion as "nothing".

    What about the policy launch where Howard splashed money around like it was water world? That was ON TOP of the tax cuts.
     
  8. Guest

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    Howard's economic wrongs

    The $3b was simply labor deferring the tax cuts for people earning over $180k pa.

    $31b into the economy is still going to accelerate inflation and increase interest rates. In reality if we are going to stop interest rates from increasing they need to cancel the tax cots.

    I could think of lots of ways they could spend $31b without increasing inflation.
     
  9. clontaago

    clontaago Well-Known Member

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    Howard's economic wrongs

    I for one would have no gripe whatsoever if the tax cuts were scrapped. At the end of the day we are only going to lose them when rates rise anyway.
     
  10. Canteen Worker

    Canteen Worker Well-Known Member 2016 Tipping Competitor

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    Howard's economic wrongs

    Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure! Infrastructure!
     

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