The centres are the worry. Jennings is playing NSW cup because of poor form and attitude, just the sort of lead in to Origin you want. Morris will play out of position on the right I assume, and he will have the unenviable task of trying to contain Qld's LHS attack of Thurston, that turncoat Inglis who is in great touch, Slater at times and Dave Taylor if picked. I'm sure Gifty will be posted out there to help him, but still a big ask.
Creagh is a powderpuff, Choc is streets ahead of him. I'd bench him, push Gift into 2nd row and start Bird at lock. I hope T-Rex isn't short of a run because of his suspension.
Our chances basically rest with Carney, if he fires we are a chance. I can't see Farah offering too much creativity, but I might be wrong.